Archive for the ‘China’ category

China’s Potential Investments

April 21st, 2018

In this video, United News International discusses possible deals between China and the Philippines. Kristel Yap presents.

China’s Emerging Markets

October 21st, 2017

Emerging market economies – most notably China and India – are expanding faster than those in developed nations.  With this growth, emerging market companies are able to offer potentially attractive returns to long-term stock investors, while bond investors can reap the benefits of generally higher interest rates than in developed markets.

According Tao Zhang, IMF Deputy Managing Director it is crucial for emerging markets at this point to remain “vigilant” to potential risks.  China’s economy is currently encountering substantial changes during its transition to a consumption-led economy which moves away from dependence on cheap good exports. As such, it is vital leaders are aware of the “rapid credit expansion.”

Still, at the latest World Economic Outlook, the forecast for China’s economic growth (this and next year) was increased to 6.8 percent (2017) and 6.5 percent (2018); a 0.1 percentage higher than July forecasts.  The region’s economic growth is mainly due to progress within economic reforms, in particular, supply-side structural measures along with the capacity of the government to maintain a stable macroeconomic policy.

It should also be noted that there is a targeted urban area population increase in 2020 of 60%, translating into a move of 41 million individuals from rural areas to urban centers in China.  What this means is that there will likely be significant investment opportunities given that urban residents have different consumption patterns and higher wages.

China’s ODI

June 18th, 2016

ChinaThere was a 32 percent increase in investment in the Belt and Road project in Beijing from Chinese firms, in the first four months of 2016.  According to  Xinhua a staggering $4.9 billion was invested during this time period. The goal of this project is the establishment of an “economic corridor,” linking China and Central Asia with Europe in a “21st century reprise of the ancient caravan routes.” Furthermore, the Ministry of Commerce reported that between January and April 2016, there was an escalation of 71.8 percent in ODI, reaching 391.5 billion yuan (about 60.1 billion US dollars). Likewise in the service sector there was an increase of 73.2% to $43.8billion.

China has been intensifying its presence in the worldwide economy in recent years.  When analyzing this trend, it is paramount to look at the country’ ODI since that can be what is needed to bolster growth.  To date it has comprised investment in M&As and start-ups and growth is anticipated from around $744 billion to around $2 trillion by 2020 (currently the leader in ODI in the world is America with $4.92 trillion). Due to European economic devastation, this ODI was met with an incredible reception throughout Europe, most notably UK, France and Germany which has reaped the most benefits from Chinese funding in the last few years.

It should be noted though that FDI has also played a significant role in China’s success, turning the region into “one of the world’s biggest cross-border investors.”  According to figures from the Commerce Industry, there was an increase of 4.8 percent in the first quarter from 2015 year-on-year to 286.78 billion yuan ($45.3 billion).

So together with its FDI, China is fast becoming a leader in the global economy.  As Bill Gates said recently in an interview with Xinhua “China is going to be contributing more and more to the world’s innovation.”

Boosting Indonesia’s Economy

September 9th, 2015

hong kongActions by officials in Indonesia are being put in place to help ensure a “massive deregulation” in the country in the hopes of attracting investments. Due to a deceleration in domestic consumption, the economy has been waning. China’s super cheap prices hasn’t helped the country much either.

Some of the actions include: a reshuffle of the governmental economic group, new stimulus package, infrastructure projects (most notably the coal-fired power plant). Regulations are being reviewed to ensure that those which can be eliminated, will.

To get back on the successful bandwagon, Indonesia requires 3,518 trillion rupiah (HK$1.9 trillion) of investment to achieve its economic growth target of 7 percent. This can come from both local and FDIs. If this isn’t achieved, growth will not exceed more than 5 percent, the lowest it has been in the country since 2009.

In more positive news however, Indonesia is the battleground between China and Japan as to which country will get the rights to build its first high speed railway. That will definitely help its economic environment. The competitive spirit is good for everyone. Especially since Indonesia is long overdue for a multi-million dollar overhaul of its antiquated infrastructure.

QDII2: Boosting the Yuan

May 9th, 2015

YuanIn an effort to globalize the yuan and promote “capital account convertibility” the Chinese who are part of the Shanghai Free Trade (SFZ) may be able to make their own direct investments into overseas market. This would be an unprecedented move and would be one element of a government test.

The goal of the SFZ is in part to help boost China’s economic structure. It has a project that has been in the works for more than two years. Situated in Pudong New Area, it is hoped that it will ultimately span the entire Pudong district, measuring 1,210.4 square kilometers.

One of the advantages of the plan is that those using it will not be penalized with foreign exchange restrictions. There will be limits but not nearly as stringent as they currently are.

MMFs and China Investment Management

July 28th, 2014

China-economyThe asset management sector is continuing to grow in China, bolstered by Money Market Funds (MMFs) and innovative investment products. At the end of last month, Tianhong Asset Management (that joined Alibaba Group to launch Yu’e Bao), came in at a total AUM of 586.1 billion RMB (US$93.77 billion). Tianhong’s ballooning AUM has mainly been driven by its partnership with Alibaba, through which it launched its first online MMF, the Tianhong Zenglibao Monetary Fund, in June 2013.

Yu’e Bao, last year provided many investors with an alternative option to banks/stock markets for small asset management, as well as an understanding of liquidity and annualized rate of return. But things have changed in a year. Yu’e Bao’s returns are no longer satisfying those same investors. However, when Yu’e Bao was first created it was set to enable customers to place their money between online transactions. Now, it is facing competitors like Baidu (similar to Google) and Tencent.

China’s doing well…especially in the technology market. Today it houses four out of the world’s ten largest web/technology firms: Alibaba, Baidu, Tencent, and Xiaomi. Its bourgeoning economy specializes in the mobile/digital sector and the market cap for the region’s largest web firms is at over $400 billion. But perception is everything and the way foreigners see the region needs to change.

According to one analyst, Lily Liao, MMFs and fixed income funds have been doing well in China given the bearish A-share market. She pointed out that: “An increasing number of investors are switching their money from equities funds to MMFs, as they’ve become more risk averse under the grim A-share market conditions.”

There’s a lot more success waiting to happen in China – the country located to proceed with its innovation both in technology and other sectors.

Asia Investors Seeking US Properties

May 22nd, 2014

Brickell-FlatironOver the last year or so, Asia investors have increasingly been purchasing US properties. In the second quarter of 2013, Grand China Fund (a real-estate investment firm based in Beijing) took an 80 percent stake in a 286-unit Houston rental complex. A similar statistic was seen in 2012 in Atlanta with a 170-unit residential project. According to Esther Fung’s Wall Street Journal report, Asia investors are moving out of traditional New York, LA and San Francisco for property purchase.

If this trend continues, Miami could soon become the next hot spot for outside investors.   Earlier this month, in a recent news article, Charlie Rosier, a Blackfish director, said “Chinese investment in Miami, Florida’s biggest city, accounted for 3.7 per cent of the city’s property sales.” Gray Swoope, CEO of Enterprise Florida, echoed this sentiment. He said, “Miami has been described as the Hong Kong of Latin America. South Florida has a huge advantage for Chinese businesses looking to locate their headquarters for Latin America.”

A few weeks ago, 552 residential units at Brickell Flatiron developed by Valdimir Doronin of CMC Group went on sale. Designed by architect Luis Revuelta the unique building located at the north of the Metromover tracks and the current Flatiron Park.

In addition, for foreign investors looking for a piece of New York, the new Flatiron Building might be just what they are looking for. Designed just like the iconic Flatiron building in Manhattan (due to its triangular shape), it could be said that a little piece of New York has arrived in Miami.

Asia’s Financial System: ANZ

March 25th, 2014

ANZ recently released a new report called ‘Caged Tiger: The Transformation of the Asian Financial System’. The report predicts that Asia’s financial system has the potential to surpass those of both the United States and Europe combined by 2030.

Mike Smith, CEO of ANZ, stated that China will require a financial revolution to compliment the economic revolution that the nation has undergone in recent years.

According to ANZ’s report, around half of Asia’s financial assets will be attributed to China by 2050. Meanwhile, Asian bond markets are projected to expand to six times their current size over the next decade and a half.

Smith said:

“Continued progress in financial reform, deregulation and opening up to global markets in Asia will be essential to support high levels of economic growth in the region.

“China is central to this Asian Century scenario. The direction and sequencing of reform envisaged following the Third Plenum will significantly influence the direction and growth of its financial system.”

According to Smith, this will create countless opportunities throughout the region.

“Asia’s financial institutions will become increasingly important in global finance and Asia will become home to many of the world’s largest financial centers. Shanghai will grow to rival New York as a financial center. Singapore will increase its importance as a south-east Asian hub.”

Asian Investors in Invest In Real Estate

October 7th, 2013

Recent surveys have revealed that Asian institutional investors are looking to invest $150 billion in real estate in cities such as Dubai, London, New York and Sydney.

According to CBRE, Asian investors currently manage a fifth of global institutional capital. There has been a dramatic increase in investment activity over the last few years, but Asian investors are currently investing only 1.7% of their assets in real estate.

CBRE President Chris Ludeman explained: “Asian institutional investors are already beginning to acquire assets overseas, with core assets in gateway cities being the most sought-after asset class.”

“While investors that have already had exposure in global markets will continue to acquire new assets, the next few years will see a number of new entrants to leading global real estate markets such as London and New York. Japanese institutions which to date have largely been absent from the global scene, as well as Taiwanese and Chinese insurance companies will be the first to merge.”


Youku to Buy Its Chief Competitor in $1 Billion Deal

September 11th, 2012

With their eyes on cutting costs and reducing competition,  Youku Inc, the owner of China’s most popular on-line video site, is moving to buy Tudou Holdings Ltd. for about $1 billion.

Tudou is one of Youku’s smaller competitors; when the merger is achieved the two internet companies together will have an easier time competing with China’s most popular online sites such as Baidu Inc and Tencent Holdings. Investors in the Chinese market are studying the deal carefully and watching how it will affect the overall economy and the specific high-tech/technology market.

The two companies issued a joint statement explaining what the deal could mean for holders of shares, or ADRs. (ADRs are American depositary receipts, which act like shares of stock in America but really represent shares in an off-shore company, in this case in China.) Within days of announcing the proposed takeover the ADR value of Tudou increased by 159 percent. In other words, for each ADR of Tudou owned, Youku will replace with 1.595 ADRs of Youku stock.

It is now up to shareholders of both Youku and Tudou to approve the deal, which is expected, but not until the third quarter of 2012. When the deal has been transacted Youku shareholders will own almost three-quarters of the new, larger company, which will take on the new nomen of Youku Tudou Inc.